SleepersNovember 6, 2008


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Sleeper Watch

By Robbie Lodewick

During the offseason, Elton Brand decided to opt out and sign with Philly, instead of the Clippers, which was originally thought. That left the Clippers with a gaping hole at power forward. For the option to trade second round picks in 2010, the Denver Nuggets handed the Clippers Marcus Camby in one of the most lopsided trades of the decade. This leaves rebounds to clean and shots to block for Kenyon Martin. Looking at Kenyon’s stats so far this season, they’re nearly identical to his New Jersey stats (albeit with a 3 game sample). In nearly 34 mpg, his averages are:

FG%3PMFT%REBAstTOStlBlkPPG
45.00.773.38.01.02.31.71.016.3

Compared to his best season in New Jersey:

FG%3PMFT%REBAstTOStlBlkPPG
48.80.168.49.52.52.61.51.316.7

Though the 3’s are not expected to continue, if he can maintain his FT% and boost his FG% up to 47.5, he can come near or even surpass the value he held in New Jersey, and will be a great sleeper for this season. With the recent Billups-Iverson trade, Kenyon could see his value go up even more with an elite pass first point guard, much like Jason Kidd was. As long as he can avoid any major injuries (which have been a problem in the past) Kenyon could easily out perform his Yahoo! ADP of 96, and I strongly recommend getting him in a H2H league. My expectations for Kenyon would be 46.8% FG, 70% FT, 8.2 REB, 1.5 AST, 2.4 TO, 1.5 Stl, 1.0 Blk, and 16 PPG.

 
Robbie Lodewick is one of a growing number of fantasy experts who write for the Cafe. You can catch up with Robbie in the Cafe's forums where he posts under the name of rlode67628.
 
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