tianyi86 wrote:I don't think the comparison from 2 yrs ago is relevant. If so, then my marion pick at 6 and camby in round 2 are both huge steals. KG was a stat filler because 1) he is truly that good, and 2) he was with Minnesota and there was no one there besides KG. Now KG has pierce, ray allen, rondo, and decent bench to play with. The fact that he plays in the weaker Eastern conf only reduces his value because his mpg will be like last years.
Arena's concerns are legitimate. Knee surgery is major for all sports but especially for basketball where everything you do puts stress on the knee. Arena's value 2 years ago was also w/o an all star caron butler. Arena's ppg has to drop to around 20 with butler and jamison both shooting the ball.
I'm not saying kg or arenas are bad picks, but I think they are in line with where they were drafted.
Not that I'm necessarily disagreeing with you, but if a comparison from only two years ago isn't relevant then wouldn't we all just take the highest ranked player left from basketballmonster's year end rankings? Who's to say that Butler won't get injured again this year, causing Arenas to have to score even more? Ray Allen was very spotty at times last year, and is getting gimpy. Who's to say he doesn't get injured, causing Boston to be a two-man team? I'm not saying that I expect KG and Arenas to finish 3 and 4 this year. What I am saying is that IF they stay healthy, they'll both finish in the top ten. Yes, Arenas could get hurt again, but so could Camby, or Wade, or Nash for that matter. My contention is that optimally, Garnett and Arenas COULD both finish in the top five this year, and nobody would be the least bit surprised. Worst case scenario for both is that they perform at their draft position, which I'll be more than happy with.