Yeah, after I actually sat down to consider all the options individually there, it became easier. It's not that Dirk's improved, because he's actually on the decline. But it's the fact that everyone is losing value faster than him, while Dirk's situation is pretty much unchanged.
I think a lot of the uncertainty in the first couple rounds this year comes more so from how many of the top 25 or so fantasy players are on the decline, and exactly how far they will decline, and less so from guessing where new emerging fantasy studs will push their way in. That's due partially to the uncertain fantasy results of the Miami 3, and also the fact that a lot of the top 25 have been there for a long time, and age has to catch up with them eventually.
Though obviously, if some of the perennial top 25 fall out, someone's going to come in to take their place.