Looking for a 3rd guard or a FC at this spot, there where a number of choices. With PG Lin, Lowry, and Nash going before, the pool dwindles. Hill posted solid, yet unspectacular number last year, in his first full year as a starter. Not a lot of assists for a starting PG, so expect around 4.5 apg, which with Curry and Wade as my other starting guards, should be sufficient. My goal would be to add another PG later in the draft for when Wade misses games. Hill also bolsters 3s and does hurt in any category. My team needs to add some rebounding which would be the objective in the next couple of rounds. In that respect, I considered players like Pekovic, Boozer, and Randolph.
Hadn't really considered Thornton too much until not really being happy with what was left from an upside standpoint. Outside of just not playing a ton in Sacramento this past season he has shown he can put up nice fantasy value. In 2011-2012 he put up mid third round value and his per 36 minute stats from last season put him in the late 2nd round. If he can get me 16 points, 2 threes, 2.5 boards, 1.5 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, and 1 TO on 43% and 85% he'll be a solid pick in the 7th and has some room to improve on this numbers.
Losing Tyreke Evans has got to be good for Thornton.
Players I also considered were KG, Korver, Gordon, and Greg Monroe.
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In a perfect world George Hill would have slid 2 more picks and let me pick up my 2nd pg. But since he's gone, I just didn't like the value of the other PG options available, so I opted to go with a speculative pick on a guy who will certainly have a chance to put up some numbers this season. Hayward is the best perimeter player on the Jazz this year, and they will ask him to step into a bigger role than he's had before. How smoothly it all goes is hard to predict right now, but I will say that just by watching him the past couple of years, I've always been impressed. I think the chance is there for him to really step up successfully to the next level as a player. I like his chances for 17/3.5/4 with 1.8 3s, 1 steal and around half a block per game, and 80+% ft% on good attempts. How he handles defenses keying in on him will determine exactly where the fg% and TOs fall, but like I said I think he's a very capable player and am willing to take him at this point of the draft and see what happens.
Now I'm just trolling after my Beal pick, right? Nah. Kanter is a major breakout candidate, and I need a center who rebounds and produces solid percentages. Kanter is nothing to write home about in the counting categories like assists, steals and blocks, so I'm going pure need + upside here. Kanter and Derrick Favors are no longer restricted by Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap, and are free to put up huge stat lines in a now-barren frontcourt that includes the likes of Andris Biedrins. I'd say Kanter was a double-double candidate if it weren't for the possibility that the Jazz will get blown out often, but I like him to be around a 15 & 9 with hopefully close to a block a game, plus excellent big man percentages (he was 54.5/79.5 last year; something similar would be wonderful). When you consider the other bigs available - Pekovic, Z-Bo, Boozer, Monroe, Faried, none of them blow you away in the defensive categories either, and Kanter's percentages and upside tilt things to his favor. Of course, I could have gone with a Drummond or JaVale McGee, but that would have created a real bee in the bonnet situation for my, or any squad, at this time. Kevin Garnett and Anderson Varejao are just too risky from a games-played standpoint as well. Kanter it is!
Specifically, at this pick, I was looking to boost the steals category while not sacrificing any shooting %'s. In the final 3 months, Butler was ranked 71st, averaging around 33 minutes a game. He's all but been assured he'll be the Bulls starting SG in 2013-14 so one has to figure he'll be good for at least 30 minutes a game. At best, he'll be the fourth option the majority of the time but fantasy managers shouldn't be drafting him for scoring. Rather, it's all the other categories that should appeal to you, much like what Kawhi Leonard brings to the table.
I'm thrilled that the manimal made it back to me. With the reshuffling in Denver I expect his minutes to jump from 28 to around 32-34 a game, and he should be able to post a solid double double with low turnovers and great field goal percentage. Also he averages a steal and block a game with limited minutes. Those will rise with more playing time.
Drummond surprised last year, especially late in the season. There are some question marks about his attitude and obvious drawbacks to his game (FT%, namely). But he's a defensive stalwart and will continue to grow. If he can improve on his offensive game whatsoever he can be a solid option at C, especially with no one listed after him on the depth charts.
Steps into a favorable situation as the alpha dog of a backcourt that just lost Jennings and Monta. The Bucks are a team starved for scoring options, with Ridnour, Delfino, Henson, Sanders, Zaza and Ekpe Udoh as some of their major rotation players. There will be no shortage of minutes and opportunity for Mayo, and I expect a small uptick in the averages he posted last season. Offers a top-75 floor with top-60 to -65 upside.
7.12 Nikola Pekovic, C, MIN Pekovic clearly has problems staying on the court, but his primary contributions (FG%, REB, TO) are needed on this team, and the roto format helps mitigate potential downside from pick 84 a bit. Pek's production has been very stable with Kevin Love on/off for the past two seasons, so I don't have any real concerns of his losing numbers in a scenario were Love does not miss time. When he's healthy, the stats will be there.
8.1 Danny Green, GF, SAS I'm a Danny Green fan-boy. A futher-expanded role for the Spurs at age 26 is , particularly for roto purposes. He posted 2.2 threes, 1.2 steals, 0.7 blocks, and 1.2 turnovers in 28 minutes this past season.
Last edited by mbuser on Thu Aug 22, 2013 8:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Last season was easily Chandler's most productive of his six-year career; he posted highs across the board in PER and almost every other advanced stat. Those per-36s of 19-7 with 1.5 steals and plus-efficiency look attainable at least for the first few months with Gallo out still recovering from a torn ACL. Chandler's been so up and down that he's hard to predict, but I'm willing to take a shot here given his age (still just 26) and initial opportunity (Nuggets were decimated in free agency, losing Iggy most notably, so it'll be Lawson and Chandler running the show).