I was hoping for Granger, but im not mad at getting Crawford. Should be in line for threes, ft %, and about 15 ppg at a decent fg%. I'm not too sold on JR, but I did consider Korver here. I just feel that Crawford will at least get 4 more ppg, and he gets to the ft line more so that's why I went with him.
Need to fill out my roster with a 2nd C and Boozer qualifies. Looking for him to match last year's numbers or close enough to it, expecting around 15/9. Not expecting much upside except maybe to get his fg% back up near his career average with Rose back.
Even if I hadn't taken Bynum in this mock earlier, I'd be taking Andy here. Solid percentages, steals for a center eligible player, and he hustles and rebounds like a champ. His assist numbers are pretty good too and considering I only have Chris Paul at PG I could see them anywhere I can get them.
I was really looking at Korver, Varejao, Granger, and Jamal Crawford here.
(Past Year: 727)
Joined: 23 Jul 2005
Home Cafe: Basketball
Location: Fundamentals are the crutch of the talentless.
So here we have a player that a) just finished 38th in 9 cat value last year. b) is returning to a very similar situation on the same team with no real minute concerns (if anything, the Hawks are even less crowded at SG/SF this year), and c) has no real injury concerns.
So why is he still available at pick 102? Not sure honestly. His floor, while not top 40 again (that's his ceiling, if he can repeat that 45% 3pt%), is still probably top 80 or so as long as Atlanta doesn't have a major roster shakeup/addition at SG/SF. People get caught up in breakout candidates and position filling (myself included), but I couldn't let him fall any further.
Yikes, this Sixers roster. This is a team that is going to get beat down with regularity. But against mediocre teams - and there are several - guys like Spencer Hawes are going to put up big numbers. His only real competition is Lavoy Allen until (if) Nerlens Noel comes back and is ready to contribute. Hawes averaged 27.2 minutes last year. His per-36 numbers: 14.6 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.8 blocks. He's a sneaky fantasy player. Can he get 36 minutes a game for a bad Sixers team? Maybe. Personally, I have him averaging a 13 & 8 with 1.3 blocks, but a jump to 14 & 8.5 with 1.5 blocks isn't unreasonable. Considering his percentages are serviceable and he'll be one of the focal points of the Philly "offense" by default, I kind of like Hawes this year, in an understated way. The real hope, if this were a real draft, was that he'd be the good Hawes for the first half of the year and I could deal him midseason for help elsewhere.
Time to grab the first rookie off the board, as I wasn't too enamored going with a Shawn Marion or taking a flier on Danilo Gallinari. Oladipo has plenty of upside, yet quite a low floor to go along with it, consequently I feel much better taking a gamble like this in roto rather than H2H. In the Summer League, Oladipo showed he can fill up the stat sheet, but it might come at the expense of FG% (hoping it doesn't as evidenced by his Hoosier stats) and TO's. Best case scenario is he quickly works into major minutes, despite not being a starter at the outset. Also, it'd help were he to be entrusted with a good amount of run at PG. On the flip side, he could just as easily spend a significant part of next season in the 20-25 minute range and fall on his face in any PG experiment.
In order to absorb another three point shooter and steals specialist with my next pick, I need an ace in FG%. Enter Jordan. He has CP3 passing him the rock, and since I'm punting FT%, his one significant weakness matters not to me.
I was hoping to get oladipo on the wrap around pick for his steals potential.
Needed to fill out my SG and went with youth. I'm typically rookie-averse (other than keeper leagues, of course), but am hoping to catch lightening in a bottle. McLemore should get plenty of minutes on the floor and will either play himself out of his roll or rack up counting stats. He'll likely be sloppy but can help in points and 3's.
There are a host of players here I can feign being excited about and who I can draft on "upside", but that makes no sense at all given there are reliable top-75 quantities still on the board. Dallas brought in some new free agents (Calderon, Monta, Harris, Blair), but none really affect Marion's role and minute allocation. On to the numbers...
49, 51, 52, 45, 51
Spot the outlier. Those are Marion's FG% figures over the past five seasons. Two seasons ago that number dipped to its lowest since 2003, causing his per-game rank to be artificially dragged down. Had he shot 50%, his '12 per-game rank would've been inside the top-65.
I get the concern over a oncoming decline given he's 35. But Marion's game in particular ages well for fantasy purposes. Unlike the host of others (Z-Bo, for example), who don't have any periphery stats (assists, steals, blocks) to fall back on when they can't score in bunches anymore, Marion has a nice cushion that allows him to go all Benjamin Button on us and drop a top-40 season at age 34. I don't want to rip any individual picks this round, but some of these guys have no business going ahead of Marion. This guy hasn't posted a cumulative rank lower than 76 in 13 years and counting.